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View Full Version : Canada may have found more Natural Gas...


Waterbuffalo
03-05-2008, 02:25 AM
Since a lot of Natural Gas gets pumped from this region into the Western Washington area including the Portland area, I thought this might be an interesting article.. Sounds like they found new reserves of NG in Upper Canada....



ENERGY
Gas players gear up for B.C. rush
Huge discoveries in northeast ignite 'massive land grab' for drilling rights

DAVID EBNER

March 3, 2008

CALGARY -- The remote and rugged northern fringe of British Columbia is set for a frantic land grab by natural gas explorers, following months of speculation and intensified by last week's announcement of what could rank among the largest gas discoveries in Canadian history.

Located in northeastern B.C., with the key area centred on the Horn River Basin, very little was known about the play until last Thursday, when Houston-based EOG Resources Inc. said it might have reserves of six trillion cubic feet - the same as Mackenzie Delta, Northwest Territories, and a figure that would increase Canada's total proved reserves by roughly 10 per cent.

EnCana Corp. of Calgary - which claims the initial discovery of Horn River's potential - and partner Apache Corp. of Houston may also have 6 trillion cubic feet of gas, Apache said in early February.

EnCana, Apache, EOG, as well as Nexen Inc. of Calgary, are the four major firms on the play and hold exploration rights for more than 600,000 acres. In late March and again in late April, the B.C. government announces the results of the next two auctions of exploration rights in the province, with roughly another 200,000 acres up for grabs in the Horn River region.

"Everyone's looking at bidding at land up there, it goes without saying," said Dale Shwed, chief executive officer of Crew Energy Inc., a Calgary junior explorer that has a small position in the region.

Industry's focus on Horn River has increased steadily in the past year, most recently capped by the $67-million put down at B.C.'s February auction of exploration rights for land in the area. "I suspect the EOG announcement will push it through the roof," said Michael Harris, vice-president of investor relations at Nexen.

Major advances in technology are helping drive the frenzy, including horizontal drilling and subsurface fracturing of the complex and difficult shale rock in which the natural gas in Horn River is trapped. Unlike conventional pools, economically extracting gas from shale rock has been, until just recently, next to impossible.

But with the likes of EnCana and EOG successfully exploiting the Barnett shale play in Texas, other opportunities such as Horn River are poised to make the leap from theory to reality.

"This is setting up to be a massive land grab equivalent to that of the oil sands binge in Alberta during late 2005 and early 2006," analyst Robert Fitzmartyn of FirstEnergy Capital said in a report last Friday. "Land sales are likely to remain frantic over the coming months."

EOG's announcement on Horn River, one of a series of discoveries in North America the firm disclosed, stirred a buying spree among investors. EOG stock Thursday surged 18 per cent to an all-time high. Stock of Nexen rose 5 per cent as almost 28 million shares traded, 10 times the amount of a typical day.

Horn River - as well as the hot Montney play further south in the same area of B.C. - faces challenges beyond geology, led by its remoteness, where drilling is conducted in winter because rigs can only make it to locations when the rugged ground is frozen.

Seeing this, the B.C. government last year adopted an oil sands-like royalty framework for shale gas and other complicated plays. Once a project is approved, the royalty is a nominal 2 per cent of gross revenues until capital costs are recovered. It then rises in stages to a maximum of 5 per cent of gross revenues or 35 per cent of net profits, whichever is greater.

Wells at Horn River are expensive, roughly $10-million per hole. A handful have been drilled, with EnCana-Apache already producing gas from a couple of wells, and EOG set to put its first wells on-stream in June.

Shale gas requires high gas prices, analyst Gordon Gee of RBC Dominion Securities said last week, estimating a required long-term gas price of $8 per thousand cubic feet. If drilling costs come down, $7 might be adequate. The benchmark price of natural gas on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday was $9.73 (U.S.) per thousand cubic feet, much higher than the average of roughly $6 in this decade.

Chief
03-05-2008, 05:50 AM
yah...great news until you realize that not only do the Enviros oppose LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) facilities, but oppose building any pipelines as well.

So how do we deliver all this new gas to the lower 48 where it's needed, in volumes that mean something??

Waterbuffalo
03-05-2008, 06:04 PM
Chief, I think you nailed it perfectly. Unless we can build more pipelines or fix up the ones we have now, this will never happen. While the NG gets sent to China on ships because we're too stupid when its sitting there right for the exploitation.

And Canada wants to sell it.

Chief
03-06-2008, 04:07 PM
And Canada wants to sell it.

Hell yes they want to sell it! Canada is sitting on the largest proved oil reserves in the world, outside of the Middle East, and is still looking for more...


At some point we need to stop letting the inmates run the asylum...

8)

Waterbuffalo
03-06-2008, 10:20 PM
What inmates in an asylum? Do you know some one who is seeking refugee status there??

The person on our staff that has the MOST experience on this subject other than me living next to three Canadian pipelines near Bellingham is our VERY OWN KARMA!

Wonder where she flew off to?

Chief
03-07-2008, 08:36 AM
It was a metaphor WB....

I was referring to allowing the radical enviros so much say over so many things. We'd be back in caves before some of these people were ever pleased...

First they destroyed the logging inductry and now they are continuing work on the energy industry...

Waterbuffalo
03-07-2008, 06:32 PM
I'll stand to agree with you on the logging industry.. And you know honestly, they will kill the last Oregon and Washington lumber companies that are left now..

Not even Weyerhauser or the big timber will go into our Washington forests because they have enough timber on their private lots to fill themselves up nicely. Most of the timber coming down in National or state forests are small, local guys that have to take it down to survive.

Now back to the subject of the thread. I do agree with you in some sense.. Look at all the Global Warming crowd that pushes our prices for fuel and other things continually higher with the oil cartels?

So what will it take to kill these ideas and bring the energy prices down?

Chief
03-07-2008, 09:46 PM
So what will it take to kill these ideas and bring the energy prices down?

A large infusion of common sense would be helpful, but lacking that, I don't look for prices to drop anytime soon. There are areas of the nation that are toying with $4 gasoline right now; we aren't far away from it here in Washington. With summer and custom fuel season approaching, all bets are off about the top price of gas.

Here's a though problem: With oil at or over $100 a barrel right now, how high do you think the spot market could spike if the Iranians decide it's time to get cute in the Persian Gulf again?? Think we could see $10 per gallon gasoline some day??

Waterbuffalo
03-08-2008, 04:55 AM
If the Iranians get cute, I'd say that is a possibility.. What happens if China builds a pipelines to Iran or Iraq, would that get china a major competitor to the US for fuel?

Custom and summer fuel? Please explain?

I'd say if a certain party does start pushing California o2 emission costs and other fine things like it, I think $4 a gallon will be cheap. My current question is why are we not building a new refinery? I know the expense of building one with enviromental rules and many other things would be huge but I'd say we need a few in Washington...

Chief
03-08-2008, 06:01 AM
Custom and summer fuel? Please explain?

My current question is why are we not building a new refinery? I know the expense of building one with enviromental rules and many other things would be huge but I'd say we need a few in Washington...


There are 39 different States that mandate specific blends of gasoline to try and reduce certain aspects of pollution caused by engine exhaust. In the summertime when it's hot, some additives prevent evaporation. Others work when they burn in the engine, Others react chemically in the catalytic converter. And what used to be the main additive years ago was found to be leaching into ground water all around the country, so the Industry has shifted to other, more expenive chemical additives.

Lots of areas are mandating Ethanol use too. 10% Ethanol, blended with Gasoline is mandatory in a number of States, and Ethanol ain't cheap as we all know from our discussions.

A lot of this is chemistry, and there is a plethora of information on the web about summertime custom gasoline blends. I'd suggest a google search and go from there to see how complex of an issue it is.

As for refineries, there hasn't been a refinery built in the Continental United States in over 30 years, and if anyone decided today that they wanted to build one, it's reliably estimated that the Federal permitting process would take at least a decade before the first pipe arrived on the site.

Waterbuffalo
03-09-2008, 06:22 AM
Ok, I'll have to hit google to find out more information to about gasoline blends.. Proably not too hard to find.

"As for refineries, there hasn't been a refinery built in the Continental United States in over 30 years, and if anyone decided today that they wanted to build one, it's reliably estimated that the Federal permitting process would take at least a decade before the first pipe arrived on the site."

I'll agree with this.. The 4 refineries I'm familiar with in the Bellingham Washington area were built 30 to 50 years ago.. But there have been updates through out the years. Including a major update recently at the BP/Arco one about 2 years ago that is adding a huge co-generation plant that is feeding electricity back into the refinery and to an aluminum plant that has wonderful, Family wage jobs like Vanalco used to have.

When BPA was going to raise rates, these two plants went together find ways to conserve and build this co-generation plant to help and benefit them both.

Now this might be some thing that might be a way to show how things might be a good symbiosis and help more than just one entity?

MIght be a good example to WashDOT and others.